Hysteresis and Business Cycles

نویسندگان

چکیده

Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying analysis cycles. In this paper, we review recent empirical theoretical literature that motivates paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis (or “scarring” parlance) has sparked by persistent impact global financial crisis —as advanced economies remained far below precrisis trends over a decade—and concerns about lasting COVID-19 shock. findings far-reaching conceptual policy implications. recessions, monetary fiscal policies need be more active avoid permanent scars downturn. And good times, running high-pressure economy could positive effects. (JEL E22, E23, E24, E32, E63, G01, O41)

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

The Dynamics of Entrepreneurship: Hysteresis, Business Cycles and Government Policy

The Dynamics of Entrepreneurship: Hysteresis, Business Cycles and Government Policy This paper estimates an unobserved components model to explore the macro dynamics of entrepreneurship in Spain and the US. We ask whether entrepreneurship exhibits hysteresis, defined as a macro dynamic structure in which cyclical fluctuations have persistent effects on the natural rate of entrepreneurship. We f...

متن کامل

Business cycles in Iran: Evidence from asymmetry and correlated shocks

In this Paper, business cycle asymmetry in Iran has been investigated using a nonlinear unobserved component model. In this regard, according to Kim and Nelsonchr('39')s (1999) interpretation of Friedman plucking model (1993), asymmetric transitory component has been modeled and simultaneously the possibility of a correlation between transitory and permanent shocks has also been considered. The...

متن کامل

Growth and Business Cycles

This paper studies an agent-based model that bridges Keynesian theories of demandgeneration and Schumpeterian theories of technology-fueled economic growth. We employ the model to investigate the properties of macroeconomic dynamics and the impact of public polices on supply, demand and the “fundamentals” of the economy. We find that the complementarities between factors influencing aggregate d...

متن کامل

Skyscrapers and Business Cycles

The construction of skyscrapers that qualify as the “World’s Tallest Building” tends to coincide with major downturns in the economy. The Skyscraper Index, created by economist Andrew Lawrence shows a high level of correlation between skyscraper construction and the business cycle. Is this just a coincidence, or perhaps do skyscrapers cause business cycles? A theoretical foundation of “Cantillo...

متن کامل

Credit and Business Cycles

This paper presents two dynamic models of the economy in which credit constraints arise because creditors cannot force debtors to repay debts unless the debts are secured by collateral. The credit system becomes a powerful propagation mechanism by which the effects of shocks persist and amplify through the interaction between collateral values, borrowers' net worth and credit limits. In particu...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Economic Literature

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2328-8175', '0022-0515', '1547-1101']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.20211584